Bill’s recap:
“The US economy continues to surprise. The Dow is breaking records again. The USA is a net exporter of oil to the global market now, which is giving the Middle East some cause to worry.  Inflation in the US is well under control and the cost of money (Fed interest rate) is steady. Steel mill output has been slowing, but steel imports are very slow, allowing domestic mills to benefit.”


 

+ The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied to a record high last Thursday, after testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that signaled easier monetary policy could be implemented later this month. The 30-stock average broke above 27,000 for the first time in its history, rising 200 points or 0.8%.

Dow Jones Record High

+ The Consumer Price Index rose .1% in June signaling that inflation remains well under control.

+ The Producer Price Index is well under control too at only .1% gain in June. Inflation is almost nonexistent.

+ As the United States becomes a net oil exporter for the first time in 75 years, the US Department of the Interior has announced the discovery of the largest continuous oil and gas field ever found. Situated in the Wolfcamp Shale and overlying Bone Spring Formation in Texas and the Permian Basin in New Mexico, the new resource is estimated to contain 46.3 billion barrels of oil, 281 trillion cu ft of natural gas, and 20 billion barrels of natural gas liquids worth trillions of dollars.

– Gasoline prices continue to rise as refineries operate at 94.7% of capacity. Oil futures are hovering around $60 per barrel.

AAA National Gas Price Comaprison July 8th

– Freight rates are going up.

Freight Rates Pacesetter 16th Newsletter


+ #1 heavy melt scrap fell to $229 per ton and #1 busheling scrap fell to $280 per ton.

– Raw steel production fell to 79.4% of capacity, the 3rd weekly drop in a row.

– Iron ore FOB Chinese ports has gone crazy. $120 per dry metric ton.
Iron Ore FOB Jan 2018 - July 2019

+ Zinc cost is on a good trend.

Kitco 60 Day Zinc Spot May 13 - July 9th

 

– Galvanized imports in June were the weakest in recent memory.

US Imports of Sheets and Strip Galv Hot Dipped July 9th

– The United States is slapping tariffs of up to 456.23% on steel imported from Vietnam after only undergoing minor finishing there. ArcelorMittal USA, U.S. Steel, Fort Wayne-based Steel Dynamics, AK Steel Corp., California Steel Industries, and Nucor asked for the duties on steel that’s made in Korea and Taiwan, shipped to Vietnam for light processing and then sent to the United States as cold-rolled steel and corrosion-resistant steel. The U.S. Department of Commerce ruled the third-country routing was a circumvention of existing antidumping and countervailing duties. As a result of the ruling, U.S. Customs and Border Protection agents are collecting duties of up to 456.23% at the ports, depending on the type of steel product and where it came from. The tariffs will be retroactive to Aug. 2 last year, when the inquiry was opened.

–  NLMK USA has begun laying off workers, saying the 25% tariffs on imported slab are to blame. The local newspaper quoted company present Bob Miller as saying: “This is what I predicted a year ago. We’re running less turns and experiencing layoffs now because of tariffs.” The layoffs come less than three months after Washington’s commerce department turned down most of NLMK USA’s requests for exclusions from the duties. Terry Day, president of a United Steelworkers’ union at the Farrell plant, said 80 to 100 of its members have been laid off. “This was the first true layoffs we’ve had here in a couple of years. Obviously, we don’t want this to continue,” he added.

NLMK USA

+ The following are the late June steel price increase announcements:

June  25th  – Nucor announced effective immediately up $40 ton on all products

June  25th  – USS-Posco announced effective immediately up $40 ton on all products

June  25th  – NLMK announced effective immediately minimum base prices with HRC at $560 per ton and Cold Roll and Galv at $700 per ton

June  26th  – US Steel announced effective immediately up $40 ton on all products

June  26th  – ArcelorMittal informed customers effective immediately up $40 ton on all products

June  26th  – ArcelorMittal Dofasco announced effective immediately up CDN $55 ton on all products

 

+ 2nd week of July price increase announcements:

July 9th  – Nucor announced effective immediately up $40 ton on all products.

July 9th  – ArcelorMittal announced effective immediately up $40 ton on all products.

July 9th – ArcelorMittal announced a $40 per ton price increase.

July 9th – Nucor announced a $40 per ton price increase.

July 10th  – NLMK announced effective immediately up $40 ton on all products.

July 10th – USS-Posco announced a $40 per ton price increase.

July 10th – California Steel announced a $40 per ton price increase.

July 10th – Algoma in Canada announced a $40 per ton price increase.

July 10th – NLMK announced a $40 per ton price increase.

July 10th – US Steel announced a $40 per ton price increase as well.


+ South Korean electric vehicle (EV) battery maker LG Chem is considering building a second U.S. factory, three people familiar with the matter said, accelerating a race to add capacity to meet growing global demand for green vehicles. LG Chem counts General Motors and Volkswagen among its customers, is weighing investing about 2 trillion won ($1.70 billion) in the plant that could begin production in 2022. Kentucky and Tennessee are among the candidates for the plant’s site. A decision on the plant’s site is expected to be made by the end of this month.

– It wasn’t just any car that rolled off the assembly line last Wednesday in Puebla, Mexico; It was the last of its kind. The Volkswagen Beetle is an automotive classic spanning eight decades with sales totaling more than 23 million units. Few cars enjoy the amount of affection this one gets. There was a time when it was rare to not see a Volkswagen Beetle on the road. It was designed by Ferdinand Porsche as the Volkswagen, or “people’s car.” The German people who first saw it on the roadways started giving it a nickname, the Kafer which in German means Beetle. With only two redesigns over its lifetime, which is unheard of in the car industry, the Beetle never lost its personality, starring in movies and TV shows. The end of the Beetle marks a turning-point for Volkswagen, which now sees its future in electric cars. So for many who grew up loving this car, they just don’t make ’em like that anymore.

The end of the volkswagon beetle


 

Team Pacesetter Parting Shot July 16 newsletter

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